Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.003325 0.003652 0.004000 0.004400 0.004848 0.005335 0.005906
2026-01-18 0.002751 0.003204 0.003722 0.004360 0.005131 0.006037 0.007188
2026-01-25 0.002403 0.002909 0.003516 0.004302 0.005301 0.006540 0.008212
2026-02-01 0.002184 0.002728 0.003404 0.004316 0.005526 0.007098 0.009328
2026-02-08 0.001985 0.002545 0.003262 0.004261 0.005637 0.007496 0.010253
2026-02-15 0.001810 0.002372 0.003112 0.004172 0.005681 0.007793 0.011048
2026-02-22 0.001700 0.002275 0.003050 0.004193 0.005869 0.008296 0.012185
2026-03-01 0.001635 0.002231 0.003055 0.004302 0.006187 0.009010 0.013709
2026-03-08 0.001523 0.002113 0.002945 0.004231 0.006228 0.009302 0.014591
2026-03-15 0.001421 0.002002 0.002835 0.004151 0.006240 0.009545 0.015411
2026-03-22 0.001345 0.001922 0.002765 0.004123 0.006332 0.009917 0.016481
2026-03-29 0.001294 0.001876 0.002742 0.004165 0.006534 0.010485 0.017954
2026-04-05 0.001219 0.001791 0.002658 0.004111 0.006585 0.010820 0.019083
2026-04-12 0.001153 0.001718 0.002588 0.004074 0.006663 0.011215 0.020386
2026-04-19 0.001089 0.001644 0.002511 0.004020 0.006705 0.011543 0.021595
2026-04-26 0.001046 0.001598 0.002476 0.004033 0.006864 0.012101 0.023337
2026-05-03 0.000993 0.001535 0.002408 0.003982 0.006902 0.012431 0.024642
2026-05-10 0.000938 0.001466 0.002326 0.003900 0.006874 0.012627 0.025683
2026-05-17 0.000906 0.001432 0.002301 0.003919 0.007038 0.013220 0.027686
2026-05-24 0.000890 0.001424 0.002321 0.004020 0.007369 0.014185 0.030691
2026-05-31 0.000848 0.001369 0.002254 0.003955 0.007364 0.014445 0.032048
2026-06-07 0.000807 0.001314 0.002185 0.003880 0.007332 0.014644 0.033283
2026-06-14 0.000777 0.001276 0.002144 0.003855 0.007401 0.015067 0.035151